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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. For other uses, see Dragon Kings disambiguation. Chinese theology Chinese gods and immortals Chinese mythology Chinese creation myth Chinese spiritual world concepts Model humanity: Xian Zhenren Wen and wu.

Major cultural forms Chinese ancestral religion Chinese communal deity religion Chinese mother goddess worship Northeast China folk religion Main philosophical traditions: Confucianism state rites Taoism Other schools Ritual traditions: Mazuism Wang Ye worship.

These excursions form the dragon kings, as illustrated in the figure. It is claimed that such models can describe many real phenomena such as earthquakes, brain activity, etc.

It could also be the case that dragon kings are created as a result of system control or intervention. That is, trying to suppress the release of stress or death in dynamic complex systems may lead to an accumulation of stress or a maturation towards instability.

Such fires are inconvenient and thus we may wish that they are diligently extinguished. This leads to long periods without inconvenient fires, however, in the absence of fires, dead wood accumulates.

Once this accumulation reaches a critical point, and a fire starts, the fire becomes so large that it cannot be controlled — a singular event that could be considered to be a dragon king.

Dragon kings form special kinds of events leading to extreme risks which can also be opportunities. That extreme risks are important should be self-evident.

Natural disasters provide many examples e. Some statistical examples of the impact of extremes are that: In general such statistics arrive in the presence of heavy tailed distributions , and the presence of dragon kings will augment the already oversized impact of extreme events.

Despite the importance of extreme events, due to ignorance, misaligned incentives, and cognitive biases, we often fail to adequately anticipate them.

Technically speaking, this leads to poorly specified models where distributions that are not heavy tailed enough, and under-appreciating both serial and multivariate dependence of extreme events.

Some examples of such failures in risk assessment include the use of Gaussian models in finance Black-Scholes , the Gaussian copula , LTCM , the use of Gaussian processes and linear wave theory failing to predict the occurrence of rogue waves , the failure of economic models in general to predict the financial crisis , and the under-appreciation of external events, cascades, and nonlinear effects in probabilistic risk assessment , leading to not anticipating the Fukushima disaster.

Such high impact failures emphasize the importance of the study of extremes. The dragon king concept raises many questions about how one can deal with risk.

Of course, if possible, one should avoid exposure to large risks often referred to as the black swan approach.

However, in many developments, exposure to risk is a necessity, and a trade-off between risk and return needs to be navigated.

This nontrivial case is the one that must be considered. In an adaptive system, where prediction of dragon kings is successful, one can act to defend the system or even profit.

How to design such resilient systems , as well as their real time risk monitoring systems [37] , is an important and interdisciplinary problem where dragon kings must be considered.

On another note, when it comes to the quantification of risk in a given system whether it be a bank, an insurance company, a dike, a bridge, or a socio-economic system , risk needs to be accounted for over a period, such as annually.

Azure Dragon and Ao Guang. Dragon King sculpture with residual traces of pigment, dated 11th—12th century, Japan. Articles containing Chinese-language text Articles containing Vietnamese-language text.

Views Read Edit View history. The Dragon King of the Four Seas, painted in the first half of the 19th century. Dragon King Dragon Prince.

Part of a series on. Theory Chinese theology Chinese gods and immortals Chinese mythology Chinese creation myth Chinese spiritual world concepts Model humanity: Internal traditions Major cultural forms Chinese ancestral religion Chinese communal deity religion Chinese mother goddess worship Northeast China folk religion Main philosophical traditions:.

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Halme neigen sich im Sturm. Dragon King Video Curse of the Ring In a variety of studies it has been found that, despite the fact that a power law models the tail of the empirical distribution well, the largest events are significantly outlying i.

Eliminated after first battle. Examples of this include the largest radiation release events anycoin. Line up all five dragons and the magical pearl, and receive a prize america poker for a king: This is the domain of the dragon kings.

Das Urheberrecht liegt bei mir. Internal traditions Major cultural forms Chinese ancestral religion Chinese communal deity religion Chinese mother goddess worship Northeast China folk religion Main philosophical traditions: Im Alter bis 4,5 Meter.

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